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Statistics Theory

Authors and titles for recent submissions

  • Fri, 16 Oct 2026
  • Thu, 15 Oct 2026
  • Wed, 14 Oct 2026
  • Mon, 12 Oct 2026
  • Fri, 9 Oct 2026

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Total of 115 entries : 1-50 51-100 101-115
Showing up to 50 entries per page: fewer | more | all

Fri, 16 Oct 2026 (showing 13 of 13 entries )

[1] arXiv:2610.21872 [pdf, html, other]
Title: On Minimum Divergence for Distribution Reconstruction
Justin Bec, Thomas Le Corre, Aurélien Garivier
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Information Theory (cs.IT)
[2] arXiv:2610.21551 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Estimators from Convex Geometries of the Simplex
Paul Navas
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[3] arXiv:2610.21363 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Two Sample Sizes in Test-Time LLM Ensembling: Buffered ERM and Minimax Theory
Zhi Zhang, Arash A. Amini
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Machine Learning (cs.LG); Machine Learning (stat.ML)
[4] arXiv:2610.21103 [pdf, html, other]
Title: A One-Sided McDiarmid-Type Inequality for Heavy Tails via Reverse KL Tensorization
Hanuka Eshima, Amedeo Roberto Esposito, Andrea Paudice
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Information Theory (cs.IT); Probability (math.PR); Machine Learning (stat.ML)
[5] arXiv:2610.20944 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Factor-Assisted Density Estimation: When Ambient Dimension Enables Oracle Rates
Sunrit Chakraborty, David Dunson
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[6] arXiv:2610.20798 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Precise Asymptotics for Dense High-Dimensional Huber Regression under Heteroscedasticity
Jing Zhou, Ramji Venkataramanan, Hui Zou
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Methodology (stat.ME)
[7] arXiv:2610.21975 (cross-list from math.PR) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Sharp Cramér-type moderate deviation bounds for the self-normalized maximum of partial sums
Song-Hao Liu, Qi-Man Shao, Hao Shi, Jing-Yu Xu
Comments: 68 pages
Subjects: Probability (math.PR); Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[8] arXiv:2610.21340 (cross-list from stat.ML) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Dimension-Free PAC-Bayes Generalization for Deep Neural Networks via Dirichlet Processes
Sumit Vashishtha
Subjects: Machine Learning (stat.ML); Machine Learning (cs.LG); Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[9] arXiv:2610.21273 (cross-list from cs.LG) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Regret Lower Bound for Online Learning of Quantum States with Logarithmic Loss, with Applications to Quantum State Tomography and Confidence Sequences for Matrix Means
Yen-Huan Li, Wei-Fu Tseng
Subjects: Machine Learning (cs.LG); Statistics Theory (math.ST); Quantum Physics (quant-ph); Machine Learning (stat.ML)
[10] arXiv:2610.21136 (cross-list from stat.ME) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Pathwise Shrinkage and Probabilistic Calibration of the Multiplicative Half-Cauchy Process
Siddhesh Kulkarni
Comments: 6 pages, 1 figure, 1 table. R package: this https URL. Software DOI: http://hfffh3d25a792315f4bd8sucnp6n5qu0cu669o.ffgi.hlju.cwkeji.cn/10.5281/zenodo.23355811
Subjects: Methodology (stat.ME); Machine Learning (cs.LG); Probability (math.PR); Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[11] arXiv:2610.20979 (cross-list from stat.ML) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Two-Stage Score Estimation for Group-Specific Diffusion Models
Huitao Yang, Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla
Subjects: Machine Learning (stat.ML); Machine Learning (cs.LG); Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[12] arXiv:2610.20894 (cross-list from stat.ML) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Stochastic Gradient Descent: A Nonlinear Time Series Perspective
Jiaqi Li, Zhipeng Lou, Stefan Richter, Wei Biao Wu
Comments: 87 pages, 8 figures, accepted to JRSSB
Subjects: Machine Learning (stat.ML); Machine Learning (cs.LG); Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[13] arXiv:2610.16797 (cross-list from cs.IT) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Information-Theoretic Limits for Rectangular Spiked Matrix Models with Rotationally Invariant Noise
Qun Chen, Rudy Skerk, Jean Barbier, Francesco Camilli, Junjie Ma, Haochuan Zhang
Subjects: Information Theory (cs.IT); Disordered Systems and Neural Networks (cond-mat.dis-nn); Statistics Theory (math.ST)

Thu, 15 Oct 2026 (showing 14 of 14 entries )

[14] arXiv:2610.20090 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Drift parameter estimation for interacting particle systems with singular repulsion
Chiara Amorino, Jacek Malecki, Radomyra Shevchenko
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Probability (math.PR)
[15] arXiv:2610.19903 [pdf, html, other]
Title: A New Perspective on Cumulative Residual Rényi Entropy
Shubham Babasaheb Alte, Swaroop Georgy Zachariah, Mohd. Arshad
Comments: 22 pages, 4 figures
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Applications (stat.AP)
[16] arXiv:2610.19421 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Softplus Affine(1, 1) Processes: Enlarged Stationarity Region, Stationary Unit Roots, and Inference
Yang Lu, Fukang Zhu
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[17] arXiv:2610.19350 [pdf, html, other]
Title: On Local Inference for Functionals of Ill-Posed Inverse Problems
Ellen Graham, Andrea Rotnitzky
Comments: 196 pages, 1 figure
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Methodology (stat.ME)
[18] arXiv:2610.19208 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Pointwise minimax lower bounds under a multi-index constraint: the price of an unknown orientation
Nora Serdyukova
Comments: 9 pages
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[19] arXiv:2610.19207 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Finite-sample certification of coverage regret for budgeted document selection under adaptive stratified auditing
Nora Serdyukova
Comments: 23 pages, 2 figures
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)
[20] arXiv:2610.20020 (cross-list from stat.CO) [pdf, html, other]
Title: MCMC Can See Can't See
Daniel Matsui Smola
Comments: Code available at this https URL
Subjects: Computation (stat.CO); Statistics Theory (math.ST); Machine Learning (stat.ML)
[21] arXiv:2610.20007 (cross-list from stat.ML) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Minimax estimation of the pseudo-spectral gap of continuous Markov chains, with applications to empirical concentration bounds
Vahe Karagulyan, Mikołaj Kasprzak, Pierre Alquier
Subjects: Machine Learning (stat.ML); Machine Learning (cs.LG); Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[22] arXiv:2610.19669 (cross-list from math.AG) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Maximum Likelihood Degrees via One-Edge Chordal Completion
Nilava Metya
Subjects: Algebraic Geometry (math.AG); Combinatorics (math.CO); Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[23] arXiv:2610.19643 (cross-list from stat.ME) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Model-Induced Hazard Geometry and Functional Representations in Survival Analysis
Xijia Liu
Subjects: Methodology (stat.ME); Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[24] arXiv:2610.19573 (cross-list from stat.ML) [pdf, html, other]
Title: On Inherent Privacy of Posterior Sampling: A Unified Rényi-Divergence Framework
Ruyu Zhou, Fang Liu
Comments: Accepted to NeurIPS 2026
Subjects: Machine Learning (stat.ML); Machine Learning (cs.LG); Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[25] arXiv:2610.19358 (cross-list from cs.LG) [pdf, html, other]
Title: Asymptotic Behavior of Transformers
Katy Blumer, Da-Cheng Juan, Jon Kleinberg, Ravi Kumar, Cyrus Rashtchian, Andrew Tomkins
Comments: 24 pages, 3 figures
Subjects: Machine Learning (cs.LG); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[26] arXiv:2610.18992 (cross-list from math.PR) [pdf, html, other]
Title: On rigidity of infinite exchangeable sequences
Maximillian Newman
Comments: 45 pages, 0 figures
Subjects: Probability (math.PR); Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[27] arXiv:2604.18599 (cross-list from stat.AP) [pdf, other]
Title: Simulation Based Inference of a Simple Neural Network Structure
Pierre Charitat (IRMA), Ségolen Geffray (IRMA), Christophe Pouzat (IRMA)
Journal-ref: Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 2026, 203 (105112)
Subjects: Applications (stat.AP); Statistics Theory (math.ST); Neurons and Cognition (q-bio.NC)

Wed, 14 Oct 2026 (showing first 23 of 56 entries )

[28] arXiv:2610.18717 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Sampling with collective variables: Relative error analysis for umbrella sampling under general conditions
Holden Lee, Matheau Santana-Gijzen, Jonathan Weare
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Numerical Analysis (math.NA); Probability (math.PR); Computation (stat.CO)
[29] arXiv:2610.18646 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Inference for Fréchet Mean Sets
Ryunosuke Miyazaki
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Methodology (stat.ME)
[30] arXiv:2610.18623 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Minimax rates for pointwise CATE estimation: the role of design smoothness
Yuxuan Hou, Zhenghan Li
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Machine Learning (cs.LG); Machine Learning (stat.ML)
[31] arXiv:2610.18468 [pdf, html, other]
Title: A pedestrian's approach to Bayesian methods for inverse problems
Heiko Gimperlein, Michael Oberguggenberger
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Probability (math.PR)
[32] arXiv:2610.18205 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Interpolation and coherence in multiple testing
Ninh Tran, Dennis Leung, Jesse Hemerik
Comments: 22 pages, 1 figure
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Methodology (stat.ME)
[33] arXiv:2610.18059 [pdf, html, other]
Title: A new approach for estimating the number of spikes in high-dimensional Gaussian models
Hugo Jeannin, Pascal Vallet, Florent Bouchard, Guillaume Ginolhac, Audrey Giremus
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Methodology (stat.ME)
[34] arXiv:2610.17946 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Optimal scaling and curvature correction for constrained MCMC on spheres
Nayef Shkeir, Tobias Grafke
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Probability (math.PR); Computation (stat.CO)
[35] arXiv:2610.17580 [pdf, other]
Title: Nonhomogeneous Subordinators and Lévy Copulas for Reliability Analysis of Time-Dependent Degradation Processes
Yu Shi, Qianmei Feng
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[36] arXiv:2610.17032 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Identifiability and Consistent Recovery for the Unnormalized Graph Laplace Operators
Susovan Pal
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Differential Geometry (math.DG)
[37] arXiv:2610.16680 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Spectral Costs of Multinomial and Residual Resampling in High-Dimensional Particle Ensembles: A Free-Probability Analysis
Deming Song, Chi Kin Lam
Comments: 25 pages, 5 figures. This is a preprint of an article submitted to IEEE TPS, and a version has been posted on engrXiv
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Machine Learning (cs.LG)
[38] arXiv:2610.16677 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Graphon Hawkes Processes: Sparse Estimation and Network Recovery
Justin R. Baars, Roger J.A. Laeven, Michel R.H. Mandjes
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[39] arXiv:2610.16631 [pdf, html, other]
Title: The relation between non-exchangeability and radial asymmetry of copulas
Damjana Kokol Bukovšek, Tomaž Košir, Blaž Mojškerc, Matjaž Omladič
Comments: 20 pages, 10 figures
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Probability (math.PR)
[40] arXiv:2610.16193 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Repairing covariance functions on metric trees through a Hausdorff-type distance
Alfredo Alegría
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[41] arXiv:2610.16136 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Fisher Information and Differentiability for $r$-Largest Generalized Extreme-Value Models
Jihong Park, Yire Shin, Jeong-Soo Park
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Methodology (stat.ME)
[42] arXiv:2610.16000 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Multiscale Sequential Auditing of Quantile Regression with Point Masses
Asad Ullah
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[43] arXiv:2610.15982 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Adaptive Confidence Sets for Nonparametric Density Estimation under Local Differential Privacy
Aditya Khan, Thibault Randrianarisoa
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[44] arXiv:2610.15974 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Robust Nonparametric Methods for $α$-Mixing Sequences via Median-of-Means
Attila Lovas, Marcell Tukora
Comments: 23 pages
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Probability (math.PR)
[45] arXiv:2610.15824 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Separating Statistical Inference from Experimental Runtime: An Architecture for Sequential Scientific Analysis
Alexander Stepanov, Andrej Novikov
Comments: 27 pages. Reference implementation: this https URL
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Mathematical Software (cs.MS); Software Engineering (cs.SE)
[46] arXiv:2610.15799 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Sub-Gaussian Confidence Intervals for Heavy-Tailed Data: Characterizing the Limits of Inference
Ilyes Hammouda, Stanislav Minsker, Mohamed Ndaoud
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[47] arXiv:2610.15723 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Adaptive Robust Confidence Sets in High Dimensions
Ilias Diakonikolas, Chao Gao, Daniel M. Kane, Yuetian Luo
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Data Structures and Algorithms (cs.DS); Machine Learning (cs.LG); Methodology (stat.ME); Machine Learning (stat.ML)
[48] arXiv:2610.15576 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Synergistic Learning in Domain Adaptation with a Known Link: A Minimax Understanding
Pengcheng Xiang, Ling Zhou, Yuhong Yang
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST)
[49] arXiv:2610.15553 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Rank-based Model Average Estimator for Average Treatment Effects
Jing Lv, Jialiang Li
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Methodology (stat.ME)
[50] arXiv:2610.15369 [pdf, html, other]
Title: Three Homoscedastic Gaussian Components Have at Most Four Modes
Rintaro Okahara, Kei Kobayashi
Subjects: Statistics Theory (math.ST); Probability (math.PR)
Total of 115 entries : 1-50 51-100 101-115
Showing up to 50 entries per page: fewer | more | all
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